It’s higher than first thought!
As we pointed out in an article yesterday, luton-support-confident-jones-can-keep-the-hatters-in-the-championship, Luton’s recent form has seen them take 10 points out of the last 15 available, a much-welcomed up-turn in form.
However, despite the surge in points, Luton still remain rooted to the foot of the Championship table with 34 points, 5 points adrift of safety.
The Hatters have another 10 games to go and talk is rife as to just how many points Graeme Jones side will need to accumulate to ensure they retain their Championship status for at least another season.
Earlier this campaign, after Luton had slipped drastically down the table to occupy one of the three relegation places, we surmised that 44 points should be enough to ensure survival.
That figure was based on how the Championship table has, as can be seen below, finished in the two previous seasons whereby Millwall survived with 44 points (2018 / 2019) and Bolton Wanderers with 43 points (2017 / 2018).
2018 / 2019
21 – Millwall 44 points
22 – Rotherham – 40 points
23 – Bolton – 32 points
24 – Ipswich – 31 points
2017 / 2018
21 – Bolton – 43 points
22 – Barnsley – 41 points
23 – Burton – 41 points
24 – Sunderland – 37 points
But, now we’re not so sure.
If that is the case then the side currently occupying 21st place, Stoke City, only require another 5 points from the last 30 available.
Perhaps a more accurate guide as to how many points would see survival achieved, we should go back to the 2016 / 2017 season when, as can be seen below, Nottingham Forest required 51 points to survive and only then on goal difference.
2016 / 2017
21 – Nottingham Forest – 51 points
22 – Blackburn Rovers – 51 points
23 – Wigan Athletic – 42 points
24 – Rotherham – 23 points
So, if 51 points is a more accurate target, it means Luton Town would have to acquire 17 points from their last 10 games, can that be achieved?
Where are those 17 points going to come from?
Please feel free to discuss the above subject matter in our comment facility beneath this article.
Wigan Athletic v Luton Town?
Wigan to Win!
Luton to Win!
A Draw!
Previous article by Mad Hatter
luton-support-confident-jones-can-keep-the-hatters-in-the-championship
Hi mh, so how many points do we need. According to statistical data on luton today it could be 54 or if gj’s right 44. Well I think 52 an I can’t see where those points will come from looking at our last 10 games. I think 8 to 10 points are achievable. This will see us relagated. Losing those 15 points at the start of the season has cost us dearly.
we need a miracle then 🙂
anyone from Sheff Wed in 12th downwards excl QPR could quite easily go down with pending points deductions for a few teams but as we know the efl aren’t to be relied upon so safer to assume anyone from Reading in 16th downwards could drop down.
1.7 pts per game is a massive ask based on your thoughts but with a lot of teams having to play each other i’d expect less than 51 may well be good enough – COYH
HOPEFULLY SHEF WED AND THE OTHER CHEATERS WILL BE DRAGGED DOWN .
ITS NOT OVER YET BUT WE WILL DEFO NEED MORE THAN 50 POINTS , WILL NEED TO FIND 6 WINS AND AFEW DRAWS, VERY DIFFICULT
don’t stop believing!
We haven’t been as sloppy defensively the last few games. If we stay strong at the back and Simon maintains his form (which has cost us a good 6 pts to date) and JC gets decent distribution……. Certainly the Newbury Hatter will be a hopeful happy Hatter 😁 let’s give Super Dan a go nothing to lose
44 will not be enough, I think 48 should be, so 5 wins might be enough. We have to believe and keep going. Every other team at the bottom is going to start getting nervous and there will be surprises.