Luton’s Points Target For Championship Survival Revealed


It’s higher than first thought!

As we pointed out in an article yesterday, luton-support-confident-jones-can-keep-the-hatters-in-the-championship, Luton’s recent form has seen them take 10 points out of the last 15 available, a much-welcomed up-turn in form.

However, despite the surge in points, Luton still remain rooted to the foot of the Championship table with 34 points, 5 points adrift of safety.

The Hatters have another 10 games to go and talk is rife as to just how many points Graeme Jones side will need to accumulate to ensure they retain their Championship status for at least another season.

Earlier this campaign, after Luton had slipped drastically down the table to occupy one of the three relegation places, we surmised that 44 points should be enough to ensure survival.

That figure was based on how the Championship table has, as can be seen below, finished in the two previous seasons whereby Millwall survived with 44 points (2018 / 2019) and Bolton Wanderers with 43 points (2017 / 2018).

2018 / 2019

21 – Millwall 44 points
22 – Rotherham – 40 points
23 – Bolton – 32 points
24 – Ipswich – 31 points

2017 / 2018

21 – Bolton – 43 points
22 – Barnsley – 41 points
23 – Burton – 41 points
24 – Sunderland – 37 points

But, now we’re not so sure.

If that is the case then the side currently occupying 21st place, Stoke City, only require another 5 points from the last 30 available.

Perhaps a more accurate guide as to how many points would see survival achieved, we should go back to the 2016 / 2017 season when, as can be seen below, Nottingham Forest required 51 points to survive and only then on goal difference.

2016 / 2017

21 – Nottingham Forest – 51 points
22 – Blackburn Rovers – 51 points
23 – Wigan Athletic – 42 points
24 – Rotherham – 23 points

So, if 51 points is a more accurate target, it means Luton Town would have to acquire 17 points from their last 10 games, can that be achieved?

Where are those 17 points going to come from?

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